Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.161187 0.172458 0.184235 0.197480 0.211986 0.227422 0.245125
2026-01-18 0.139820 0.156004 0.173863 0.195134 0.219908 0.248009 0.282520
2026-01-25 0.126246 0.144693 0.165783 0.191873 0.223549 0.261108 0.309536
2026-02-01 0.119771 0.140374 0.164639 0.195642 0.234664 0.282780 0.347604
2026-02-08 0.111897 0.133487 0.159523 0.193670 0.237937 0.294328 0.373178
2026-02-15 0.106150 0.128641 0.156344 0.193546 0.243093 0.308150 0.402366
2026-02-22 0.099687 0.122396 0.150863 0.189858 0.243002 0.314620 0.421563
2026-03-01 0.095176 0.118319 0.147823 0.189022 0.246441 0.325830 0.448062
2026-03-08 0.091857 0.115558 0.146267 0.189952 0.252183 0.340433 0.480537
2026-03-15 0.087499 0.111168 0.142253 0.187168 0.252349 0.346811 0.500817
2026-03-22 0.084049 0.107808 0.139423 0.185805 0.254356 0.355865 0.525840
2026-03-29 0.082226 0.106551 0.139376 0.188333 0.262141 0.374055 0.567105
2026-04-05 0.079224 0.103570 0.136826 0.187144 0.264344 0.383891 0.595699
2026-04-12 0.076093 0.100280 0.133689 0.184912 0.264784 0.390929 0.620153
2026-04-19 0.072950 0.096835 0.130160 0.181871 0.263708 0.395315 0.640156
2026-04-26 0.071956 0.096401 0.130947 0.185387 0.273209 0.417826 0.695369
2026-05-03 0.069510 0.093765 0.128373 0.183548 0.273857 0.425282 0.722962
2026-05-10 0.067693 0.091971 0.126962 0.183431 0.277293 0.437739 0.761440
2026-05-17 0.065104 0.088945 0.123574 0.179992 0.274903 0.439629 0.778901
2026-05-24 0.063355 0.087101 0.121899 0.179212 0.276971 0.449654 0.814001
2026-05-31 0.062117 0.085975 0.121268 0.180079 0.281905 0.465254 0.862529
2026-06-07 0.060098 0.083599 0.118615 0.177481 0.280568 0.468931 0.885552
2026-06-14 0.058499 0.081812 0.116812 0.176209 0.281504 0.476985 0.919162